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UK economy thaws in April, chill ahead

UK Inflation Holds at One-Year Low Despite Oil Price Rise

13 Views· 09/22/21
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⁣⁣UK Inflation Holds at One-Year Low Despite Oil Price Rise

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has revealed that the UK inflation is holding at its lowest level in over two years. The index, which is also known as OBR's Purchasing Managers Index has shown a steady increase in prices across the UK since the global financial recession began in June 2021, driven by higher oil and gas prices, higher consumer debt and higher investment income. Consumer debt has been the key to the inflation figures, as rising debts have meant that families have had to tighten their belts and spend less on goods and services, leading to higher inflation levels. However, despite higher inflation levels, the Bank of England has warned that the rise in oil prices is temporary and is likely to level off over the coming months. In addition, the Bank of England has explained that its assessment of the economic situation in the UK is based on an ambiguous model, with some elements of the model being shaped by current consumption patterns. This has meant that the Bank of England has been forced to keep interest rates on hold, thus limiting consumer spending in the run-up to Christmas and beyond.

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